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    Monday, August 22, 2016

    Arsene Wenger's reluctance to spend will cost Arsenal the title ... again






    There are times when Arsene Wenger seems bewildered by modern football. It's not tactics or relating to players that's the problem -- the Arsenal manager gets all that. Wenger, 66, just cannot seem to fathom how the transfer market has broken away from any notion of common sense.
    The Frenchman is not the only person in the game who shakes his head ruefully when talking about fees and wages. Most insiders can see the absurdity of paying more than £100 million for Paul Pogba but accept it is a natural consequence of the spiralling television deals that fund the Premier League. Wenger, though, cannot seem to make the intellectual leap.
    It means that summer transfer windows are where we see the Arsenal manager at his worst. He shies away from reinforcing the team because the targets are overpriced, thereby going into the season short-handed with problems left unaddressed.
    Wenger wants value for the money he spends, but if Arsenal get drawn into another unedifying deadline-day scramble for recruits it is likely to prove more expensive. His reluctance to pay the going rate has been his undoing in the transfer market over the past decade.
    The club walked away from a move for Shkodran Mustafi, the German defender, when Valencia demanded a fee in the region of £50 million. Even if that deal gets resurrected -- and it is unlikely -- it will still leave Wenger with limited choices up front. 
    The latest experiment is to use Alexis Sanchez as a striker. This scenario is the perfect vignette to illustrate Wenger's flawed thinking in the transfer market and the ramifications of the mistakes during windows past.
    Wenger compared Sanchez to Luis Suarez. Three years ago, Arsenal had a very real chance of signing the Barcelona striker. Suarez was unhappy at Liverpool, had a £40 million buyout clause in his contract and was desperate for Champions League football. Suarez has a nasty streak on the pitch that Arsenal lack and was maturing into one of the world's best players. He was very eager to move south. An offer of £60 million or above would have probably prised Suarez from Anfield. Instead, the London club triggered the buyout by adding an extra £1 to the £40 million, a tactic that served only to infuriate the Merseyside club.
    A year later Sanchez moved to the Emirates from Barcelona. They were happy to let him go because they were trading up -- Suarez arrived at the Nou Camp. As good as the Chilean is, he is not in the same category as the former Liverpool man. Wenger had to settle for second best because he tried to get one of the most exciting talents in the game on the cheap. He will be paying for that mistake for the rest of his career. Suarez is the sort of player who could have galvanised Arsenal into title winners.
    Sanchez is not a front-line forward. He looks as if he does not believe he can play the role. Against Leicester he drifted wide too often and did not make his presence felt in the opposition penalty area. The 27-year-old is much more effective cutting inside from the wings. This is another case of Wenger mixing-and-matching and coming up with a team less than the sum of its parts.
    After the draw with Leicester, Wenger spoke about spending on players and put it in the context of his responsibility to the club's 600 employees. This also gives a hint to the Arsenal manager's mindset: it harks back to a decade and a half ago when the financial landscape of the Premier League was very different. Then, as Leeds United proved, it was possible to put the entire existence of a club in danger through wild overspending. Now, with the huge television deal (Arsenal will earn in the region of £140 million in domestic TV money alone this season), the Premier League salary cap and financial fair play restrictions it is almost impossible for a top-flight club to teeter towards the fiscal abyss the way they could during Wenger's first few years in England.
    In so many areas of the game Wenger is one of the cleverest, most forward-looking coaches. But when it comes to money he still seems to think like it is 2002.
    Back then, Arsenal had won Wenger's penultimate title. Two years later he won his last one, leading "the Invincibles" to an unbeaten league season. The sense of invincibility is long gone. What has not changed is the manager's aversion to spending.
    The mood around the Emirates is angry. The away fans at the King Power stadium let their manager know their displeasure in clear terms. That will upset Wenger but not change his mind.
    If the summer sees the Arsenal manager at his worst, the winter shows him at his best. Even in such a competitive Premier League he will take his side into the top four. For many fans of the Gunners this will not be enough.
    Wenger is unlikely to act differently now. Arsenal will never spend as freely as the majority of their peers while he is in charge. The downslide is they will probably never win the title again with Wenger at the helm.


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